COVID-19 Mortality Update - November 2020
This chart compares the total number of people who have died in the United States from ANY cause for this and the previous six years using data from the CDC. The X-axis is the week of the year. (Week 1 ended January 4, 2020; Week 11 ended March 7, 2020, Week 39 ended September 26). There is no doctoring these numbers as it is all deaths for ALL causes.
Note: I choose to display beginning at week 11 because before that the data was in alignment with the previous years. For those curious, the full chart is on the next post on this page.
Table of Mortalities
My Thoughts
COVID-19 is killing 10 to 13 percent MORE people than would have otherwise died in an average year. So definitely NOT the flu.
According to Worldometer, there have been 236,426 deaths related to COVID-19. Based on the table above, I would say, if anything, this number is understated. However, we could be seeing increased death due to indirect COVID-19 circumstances. I.e., increase suicides, overdoses, etc.
The spike in weeks 13-20 was due mostly to the medical profession learning how best to treat the disease. It was a BAD idea to put recovering patients in elder care facilities. It was a BAD idea to intubate based on low O2 levels alone.
Although the CDC says that their data is ~100 percent complete, the total number continues to rise by sometimes more than 2 percent from week to week. I would say that this data is very solid through week 37 (week ending September 12).
In other words, Weeks 38 and 39 will likely increase another 2 to 3 percent even though the CDC indicates the data of near 100 percent complete.